LPL Research

U.S. Treasuries and the Yield Curve | Weekly Market Commentary | September 3, 2019

We recently reduced our year-end forecast range for the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield from 2.5–2.75% to 1.75–2%. This significant reduction reflects what we consider the many somewhat curious aspects of the domestic and global macroeconomic environments. Trade uncertainty, low inflation,...

LPL’s U.S. Real GDP Forecast Change | Weekly Market Commentary | August 26, 2019

We have lowered our projections for U.S. gross domestic product (GDP), the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, and operating earnings for the S&P 500 Index in 2019, as we noted in the August 19 Weekly Market Commentary: Tweaking Forecasts, and introduced...

Portfolio Compass | August 21, 2019

We have maintained our S&P 500 Index year-end fair value target of 3,000 despite our lowered economic and earnings growth forecasts amid trade uncertainty.

Stocks & Bonds: Turn Down For What! | Weekly Market Performance | August 16, 2019

Investors endured another volatile five-day stretch as the combination of trade uncertainty, plunging global bond yields, and conflicting messages between the United States and global economies further pressured stock prices.

Market Insight Monthly | July 2019

Gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.1% in the second quarter, bolstered by consumer spending’s 2.9% contribution to growth.

Seasonal Slump? | Weekly Market Commentary | August 5, 2019

Last week’s stock market slide begs the question whether this August will fit its historical pattern of seasonal weakness.

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